About

I study presidential power and policy choice under institutional constraints. My research examines which policies presidents pursue through unilateral action and how far those actions move policy from the status quo. My dissertation develops methods to classify presidential directives and measure their ideological content.

My methodological work focuses on measurement and validation in computational social science. I study how evaluation design shapes the choice of text classifiers and how faithfully survey digital twins reproduce human response patterns.

I am affiliated with the Laboratory for Technology, Communication and Democracy (TeCD-Lab) at UC Riverside, directed by Professor Kevin Esterling. I also serve on the web development team for Prytaneum, a platform for deliberative public engagement.

Presidential PowerPolitical InstitutionsLLMComputational Social Science

Education

  • Ph.D. Political Science — UC Riverside (2022 -- present)
  • M.P.P. — Seoul National University (2022)
  • B.A. History — Korea University (2016)

Dissertation

Strategic Unilateralism and Presidential Policy Choice

Overview

This dissertation examines how presidents calibrate the content of unilateral actions to manage institutional constraints and maximize political benefits. The first chapter distinguishes ideological from non-ideological directives, then develops anchored embedding scaling (AES) to estimate their locations within liberal-conservative policy space. The second chapter recovers the inherited policy status quo for each directive and estimates the policy displacement produced by unilateral actions using AES. The third chapter extends existing models of unilateral action by proposing a cost-constrained model of presidential policy choice.

Chapter 1

Classifying and Measuring the Ideological Content of Presidential Directives

Classification and AES

Part I develops a classification of presidential directives that distinguishes ideological from non-ideological actions. Part II uses anchored embedding scaling to locate directives in liberal-conservative policy space, combining text embeddings with ideological estimates for legislative bills.

Chapter 2

Recovering the Status Quo for Unilateral Directives and Estimating Policy Displacement

Status Quo and Policy Displacement

This chapter recovers the policy status quo from which presidents depart when they act unilaterally. It develops a pipeline for identifying the relevant status quo against which presidential directives can be interpreted as policy movement. Using anchored embedding scaling, the chapter estimates the policy displacement produced by unilateral actions.

Chapter 3

A Cost-Constrained Model of Unilateral Action

Theory and Institutional Constraint

This chapter develops a cost-constrained model of unilateral action. It tests the theoretical prediction that presidents are likely to move policy toward the veto pivot, while arguing that presidents may stop short of this constraint boundary when institutional costs become sufficiently high. The chapter examines why presidents limit the policy displacement of unilateral actions even when unilateral authority allows them to move policy on their own.

Research

My research brings together political institutions, political communication, and computational methods to study political actors' strategy and representation.

Publications

Cho, Eunmi, Sinjae Kang, Kyusik Yang, Yongjai Yu, and Yoonseok Lee (2024). “Measuring Legislators' Ideology and Analyzing Ideological Differences Across Standing Committees Using Wordfish.” Journal of Research Methodology. (KCI)

Working Papers

What Are We Generalizing To? How Test Design Shapes Model Choice in Congressional Text Classification

with Eunseong Oh

Invited to resubmit, Political Analysis

We compare five classifiers across three congressional text tasks to examine how test design shapes model choice. The results show why researchers should define the population they intend to classify before selecting a model.

Text Analysis · NLP · Model Selection

Not Every Presidential Directive Is Ideological: Classifying Ideological Content in Unilateral Action

Dissertation Project · Chapter 1

I develop a classification of presidential directives that distinguishes ideological from non-ideological actions. This distinction connects the measurement of unilateral action more closely to the policy choices that theories of presidential power seek to explain.

Presidential Power · Unilateral Action · Classification

Measuring the Ideological Content of Presidential Directives Using Anchored Embedding Scaling

Dissertation Project · Chapter 2

I develop anchored embedding scaling to locate presidential directives in ideological space. The method combines text embeddings with ideological estimates for legislative bills to place unilateral actions on a common scale.

Ideological Scaling · Text Embeddings · Measurement

Survey Digital Twins Project

with Eunseong Oh

Fidelity Validation of Survey Digital Twins

We evaluate how faithfully LLM-based survey digital twins reproduce human response distributions. Using ANES and CES data, we examine whether persona attributes selected for one survey question remain useful across questions, substantive domains, and survey instruments.

Survey Research · Digital Twins · Validation

When Conspiracy Belief Mobilizes Donors: Campaign Contributions in American Politics

Under review, American Politics Research

Examines whether conspiracy beliefs shape campaign contributions in American politics, using the 2012 and 2016 ANES. The paper links conspiratorial belief to donor behavior across partisan contexts.

Campaign Finance · Conspiracy Theories · ANES

When Text Meets Image: Unlocking Frames of Political Videos with Multimodal CLIP

with Eunseong Oh

Presented at PolMeth 2025

Uses CLIP technology to analyze how political videos portray megadonors. Applies multimodal deep learning to understand the framing of political visual media.

Multimodal Analysis · CLIP · Political Communication

Works in Progress

  • Fandom Politics: A Formal Theory of Unconditional Partisan Loyalty and Democratic Backsliding
  • Korean National Assembly YouTube Communicationwith Kyusik YangMultimodal analysis.
  • Measuring Regulatory Change Through Delegated Legislation: Evidence from Korean Presidential Decrees
  • Collaborative Pedagogy at Minority-Serving Institutionswith Karina Alpayeva, Emmanoel Ferreira, Sarah Siddique, and Kim Yi Dionne

Developing

Prytaneum

Web Development Team

Affiliated with TeCD-Lab, UC Riverside

I contribute to the development of Prytaneum, an AI-assisted platform for deliberative public engagement. Developed at the Laboratory for Technology, Communication and Democracy, directed by Professor Kevin Esterling, the platform helps speakers understand participants' ideas and perspectives at scale.

LightHouse

Coming soon

Teaching

Instructor and Guest Lecturer

Summer Quant Camp

Instructor

UC Riverside

Instruction in foundational statistics and R for incoming graduate students.

MacREU

Guest Lecturer

UC Riverside

Guest lectures on data literacy, research presentations, poster design, and abstract writing for the MacREU/MEMENCYS summer program.

Teaching Assistant

UC Riverside (2023 – Present)

Graduate

  • POSC 202A Survey of Quantitative Methods
  • POSC 202B Survey of Quantitative Methods

Undergraduate

  • POSC 010 American Politics
  • POSC 015 Comparative Politics
  • POSC 017 Politics of Global South
  • POSC 186 Regulation: A Political Perspective
  • POSC 182E Politics and Economic Policy: American Politics

Software

poljacc

Vocabulary separability diagnostics for text classification.
Companion package for Oh and Yu, “What Are We Generalizing To? How Test Design Shapes Model Choice in Congressional Text Classification.”

Workbench

CV

See full CV (PDF) →